Elon Musk spoke at a town hall in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, on October 26, 2024, hosted by his America PAC, where he proposed that intelligence should be measured by the ability to predict the future, emphasizing critical thinking about the past to improve predictions.
This idea ties into the launch of Grok 3 Mini by xAI, which achieved a perfect score on a logic and reasoning benchmark, highlighting its advanced predictive capabilities and sparking discussions on redefining intelligence metrics.
Musk’s focus on predictive intelligence aligns with his broader vision at xAI to uncover universal truths, as seen in Grok 3’s design to tackle complex problems through reasoning and real-time data integration, outperforming models like GPT-4o in specific benchmarks.
Elon Musk: The right metric for intelligence is the ability to predict the future.
“The right metric for intelligence is probably the ability to predict the future. You're as intelligent as you can predict the future well. Because if somebody claims this person or this AI is very intelligent, how good are its predictions? If its predictions are not very good, it's not that smart. To predict the future, you have to think critically about the past and constantly try to be less wrong.”
Lancaster, Pennsylvania, October 26, 2024
Elon Musk: The right metric for intelligence is the ability to predict the future.
— ELON CLIPS (@ElonClipsX) April 14, 2025
“The right metric for intelligence is probably the ability to predict the future. You're as intelligent as you can predict the future well.
Because if somebody claims this person or this AI is… pic.twitter.com/bvHft92rhK
Below: Here's the complete Speech from Sky News.
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